Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 21

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Republica de Italia Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Venezuela	DSports 1


	Fénix		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.6	4.25	1.34	Watch
	11.79	4.5	1.29
	5.07	3.56	1.63	Watch
	11.8	4.29	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.57 ↑ (5.39)	4.15 ↑ (3.4)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
9.9%

Draw
22.7%

Sportivo Italiano
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

26.5%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

25.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Italiano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Italiano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fénix - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cordero R. (G) 4. Vazquez C. 2. Rojas I. 6. Sanchez E. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Nizzo M. 5. Franks A. 10. Perez P. 11. Breccia R. 7. Ahumada I. 9. Vivas J.	1. Diaz F. (G) 4. Merzario E. 2. Diaz E. 6. Kreiman B. 3. De Cuadro J. 8. Porro E. 5. Rivero J. 10. Torres A. 11. Bifiguer C. 7. Venetucci V. 9. Davila M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Bifiguer C. ⚽,
23', 🟨,
33', 0 - 2, Aguirre F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 🟨,
52', 🟨,
52', 0 - 3, Davila M. ⚽,
53', 1 - 3, Perez P. ⚽,
64', Porro E. ↓, Cipresso F. ↑,
76', Aguirre F. ↓, Benitez E. ↑,
88', De Cuadro J. ↓, Fiumara F. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 21 and 4).

Fénix has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sportivo Italiano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sportivo Italiano is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Fénix won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
08.11.25	Ferrocarril Midland - Fénix	4:0 ✺
02.11.25	Fénix - Excursionistas	1:5 ✺
18.10.25	Acassuso - Fénix	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Fénix - Brown de Adrogué	1:1 ✺
03.10.25	Argentino de Merlo - Fénix	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTL
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
08.11.25	Sportivo Italiano - Deportivo Laferrere	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Sportivo Italiano - Comunicaciones	1:2 ✺
12.10.25	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Italiano	3:2 ✺
04.10.25	Sportivo Italiano - San Martín de Burzaco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	2:0
23.08.24	Sportivo Italiano - Fénix	3:0
09.04.24	Fénix - Sportivo Italiano	1:1

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