Match Info

I Lyga - Round 18

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday


	FA Šiauliai B		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.10	1.49
	4.50	3.70	1.58
	4.82	4.02	1.56
	5.21	4.24	1.5	Watch
	4.75	3.95	1.50
	5.23	4.10	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (4.52)	4.02 ↓ (4.3)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FA Šiauliai B
18.3%

Draw
22.4%

BFA Vilnius
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

21.3%

58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

20.4%

60.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FA Šiauliai B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FA Šiauliai B than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai B won 0.

FA Šiauliai B has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

BFA is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

FA Šiauliai B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, BFA is seen as the favorite.

We predict that BFA will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, FA Šiauliai B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 8:32. (average 0.9:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, FA Šiauliai B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
15	Siauliai 2	25	4	5	16	27:56	-29	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FA Šiauliai B
Lithuanian Division 2
25.07.26	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	FA Šiauliai B - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
21.06.26	Dainava Alytus - FA Šiauliai B	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
26.07.26	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:4 ✺
02.07.26	BFA Vilnius - Ekranas	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BFA Vilnius	0:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
23.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.03.26	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	1:0
23.08.25	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	5:1
27.04.25	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	0:4
03.11.24	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	1:3
16.06.24	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	7:0
05.11.23	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	4:2
25.06.23	BFA Vilnius - FA Šiauliai B	2:1

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