Match Info

USA: US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)


	FC Dallas		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.1	5.5	Watch
	1.47	4.33	6
	1.47	4.68	5.9
	1.47	4.68	5.48
	1.4	4.2	5.8
	1.5	4.25	6.14	Watch
	1.46	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.37)	4.26 ↓ (4.4)	5.94 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
63%

Draw
21.6%

Memphis 901
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

20.5%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

19.5%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Memphis 901 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Dallas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

FC Dallas - Memphis 901 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Paes M. (G) 25. Ibeagha S. 17. Nkosi Tafari 29. Junqua S. 27. Endeley H. 6. Delgado P. 14. Illarramendi A. 4. Farfan M. 10. Ferreira J. (C) 16. Ntsabeleng T. 9. Musa P.	1. Deric T. (G) 19. Jimenez O. 3. Vom Steeg C. 8. Turci L. 14. Ward A. (C) 4. Hyndman E. 10. Lapa B. 6. Duncan Z. 11. Marlon 9. Nascimento L. 77. Borczak D.
Substitutes
31. Ansah E. 23. Farrington L. 18. Fraser L. 3. Gonzalez O. 77. Kamungo B. 1. Maurer J. (G) 12. Sainte C. F.	47. Bailey T. (G) 15. Brett N. 5. Careaga S. 91. Cissoko A. 7. Meza N. 23. Paul L. 20. Pickering N. 18. Quezada A. 26. Seeger A. (G) 2. Tulu
Coaches
Estevez N.	Glass S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Illarramendi A. 🟨,
43', Delgado P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Delgado P. ↓, Fraser L. ↑,
59', Endeley H. 🟨,
59', Ward A. 🟨,
64', Ntsabeleng T. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
65', Borczak D. ↓, Cissoko A. ↑,
65', Marlon ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
69', Endeley H. ↓, Kamungo B. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Farrington L. ⚽, Ferreira J. (A),
75', Jimenez O. ↓, Careaga S. ↑,
81', Farfan M. 🟨,
85', Ward A. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
88', Careaga S. 🟨,
88', Ferreira J. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Dallas is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
04.05.24	Toronto FC - FC Dallas	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	FC Dallas - Houston Dynamo	2:0 ✺
20.04.24	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	FC Dallas - Seattle Sounders	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	St. Louis City - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLTT
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
04.05.24	Memphis 901 - Tampa Bay Rowdies	4:1 ✺
27.04.24	Birmingham Legion - Memphis 901	0:3 ✺
20.04.24	Memphis 901 - Monterey Bay	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Loudoun United - Memphis 901	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Memphis 901 - Orange County SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLL

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