Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)

Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	FC Dallas		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.37	3.4	2.75
	2.5	3.5	2.85	Watch
	2.52	3.65	2.83
	2.47	3.48	2.79	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.75
	2.46	3.5	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.45)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	2.8 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
38.8%

Draw
27.2%

Orlando City
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

27.4%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

28.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

FC Dallas - Orlando City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Paes M. (G) 25. Ibeagha S. 3. Gonzalez O. 4. Farfan M. 5. Ruan 8. Lletget S. 6. Delgado P. 7. Arriola P. (C) 10. Ferreira J. 20. Velasco A. 9. Musa P.	1. Gallese P. (G) 24. Smith K. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 3. Rafael Santos 5. Araujo C. 16. Cartagena W. 10. Torres F. 11. Ojeda M. 77. Angulo I. 7. Enrique R.
Substitutes
31. Ansah E. 23. Farrington L. 29. Junqua S. 77. Kamungo B. 1. Maurer J. (G) 17. Nkosi Tafari 16. Ntsabeleng T. 21. Show 22. Twumasi E.	18. Bruseth H. 8. Felipe Martins 26. Halliday M. 14. Lodeiro N. 13. McGuire D. 9. Muriel L. 50. Otero J. (G) 20. Petrasso L. 34. Tsukada Y.
Coaches
Luccin P.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Rafael Santos (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gonzalez O. ↓, Ntsabeleng T. ↑,
51', 0 - 2, Schlegel R. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
55', 0 - 3, Torres F. ⚽, Enrique R. (A),
63', Delgado P. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
63', Velasco A. ↓, Kamungo B. ↑,
65', Ojeda M. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
65', Enrique R. ↓, Muriel L. ↑,
67', Araujo C. 🟨,
73', Cartagena W. ↓, Lodeiro N. ↑,
77', 1 - 3, Arriola P. (Pen),
81', Torres F. ↓, Felipe Martins ↑,
84', Lletget S. ↓, Show ↑,
86', Gallese P. 🟨,
90+2', Farrington L. 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dallas won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Dallas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Dallas: Fraser L. (Leg Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Orlando City: Stajduhar M. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Dallas: Show (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Brekalo D. (Thigh Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Dallas won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Dallas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
21.09.24	FC Dallas - Los Angeles	3:1 ✺
18.09.24	Real Salt Lake - FC Dallas	3:2 ✺
07.09.24	Vancouver Whitecaps - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	2:3 ✺
24.08.24	DC United - FC Dallas	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTLW
- Orlando City
MLS
21.09.24	Columbus Crew - Orlando City	4:3 ✺
18.09.24	Orlando City - Charlotte	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Orlando City - New England Revolution	3:0 ✺
31.08.24	Orlando City - Nashville SC	3:0 ✺
24.08.24	Sporting Kansas City - Orlando City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
28.05.22	Orlando City - FC Dallas	1:3
27.09.20	FC Dallas - Orlando City	0:0
03.08.19	Orlando City - FC Dallas	2:0
06.10.18	FC Dallas - Orlando City	2:0
30.09.17	Orlando City - FC Dallas	0:0
04.07.16	FC Dallas - Orlando City	4:0
11.07.15	Orlando City - FC Dallas	0:2

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