Match Info

MLS

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Referee: Vazquez R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass


	Orlando City		New England Revolution

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	5	Watch
	1.63	4	4.8
	1.68	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.69	4.18	4.88
	1.67	4.12	4.83	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.8
	1.67	4.1	4.81	Watch
	1.68	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	4.1 ↑ (3.93)	4.83 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlando City
57.1%

Draw
23.2%

New England Revolution
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

24.2%

24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.

New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Orlando City - New England Revolution Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Orlando City (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - New England (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). New England (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Freeman A. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 35. Gerbet J. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 10. Ojeda M. 9. Muriel L.	31. Ivacic A. (G) 4. Beason T. 3. Ceballos B. 2. Fofana M. 12. Feingold I. 80. Yusuf A. 10. Gil C. 8. Polster M. 25. Miller P. 17. Ganago I. 9. Campana L.
Substitutes
65. Caraballo G. 59. Ellis J. 7. Enrique R. 25. Guske C. 13. McGuire D. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 24. Smith K. 17. Thorhallsson D.	24. Bono A. (G) 15. Bye B. 11. Diaz L. 5. Hughes K. 35. Oliveira C. 16. Omsberg W. 23. Sands W. 37. Urruti M. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Porter C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
24', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Gerbet J. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Yusuf A. ⚽, Feingold I. (A), Ganago I. (A2)
44', 2 - 2, Polster M. ⚽, Gil C. (A), Feingold I. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 3 - 2, Ojeda M. (Pen),
69', Gerbet J. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
70', Beason T. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
70', Fofana M. ↓, Omsberg W. ↑,
73', Muriel L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
74', Angulo I. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
76', Brekalo D. 🟨,
77', Araujo C. 🟨,
80', Gallese P. 🟨,
85', 3 - 3, Gil C. (Pen),
87', Schlegel R. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
87', Miller P. ↓, Sands W. ↑,
88', Feingold I. ↓, Bye B. ↑,
90+1', Ganago I. ↓, Hughes K. ↑,
90+1', Ivacic A. 🟨,
90+11', Thorhallsson D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4.

Orlando City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

New England is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, New England has had a series of away games.

In this match, Orlando City is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Leg Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 43:41. (average 2.2:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 2.8:1.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Orlando City - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 51.7%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Orlando City	0:5 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Chicago Fire - Orlando City	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Orlando City - Atlanta United	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	CF Montréal - Orlando City	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Orlando City - New York Red Bulls	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWTT
- New England Revolution
US Open Cup
07.05.25	Rhode Island - New England Revolution	1:2 ✺
MLS
03.05.25	Toronto FC - New England Revolution	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Charlotte - New England Revolution	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	New England Revolution - New York City	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlanta United - New England Revolution	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.09.24	Orlando City - New England Revolution	3:0
13.07.24	New England Revolution - Orlando City	1:3
Club Friendly
10.02.24	New England Revolution - Orlando City	1:3
MLS
07.10.23	Orlando City - New England Revolution	3:2
17.06.23	New England Revolution - Orlando City	3:1
Club Friendly
18.02.23	Orlando City - New England Revolution	1:2
MLS
06.08.22	Orlando City - New England Revolution	0:3

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