Match Info

MLS

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: BMO Stadium (Los Angeles, CA)

Referee: Dujic F. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	SiriusXM FC


	Los Angeles		Toronto FC

	1	X	2
	1.39	5	7
	1.43	4.95	6.9	Watch
	1.49	4.59	6.56
	1.47	4.70	6.08	Watch
	1.44	4.84	7.1	Watch
	1.5	4.4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.49)	4.75 ↑ (4.2)	6.61 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Los Angeles
65.5%

Draw
20.1%

Toronto FC
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.8%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.3%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88%	8%	4%

Los Angeles - Toronto FC Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Toronto (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.25 - Los Angeles (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Toronto (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Los Angeles will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Los Angeles will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Angeles (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Toronto (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lloris H. (G) 14. Palencia S. 5. Porteous R. 91. Nkosi Tafari 29. Smolyakov A. 19. Moran A. 4. Segura E. 8. Delgado M. 11. Tillman T. 17. Ebobisse J. 30. Martinez D.	1. Johnson S. (G) 19. Franklin K. 6. Thompson K. 17. Rosted S. 28. Petretta R. 14. Coello A. 23. Dominguez M. 8. Cifuentes J. 7. Corbeanu T. 99. Vilsaint J. 10. Mihailovic D.
Substitutes
23. Amaya F. 22. Baluta A. 12. Hasal T. (G) 24. Hollingshead R. 16. Jailson 45. Nielsen K. 21. Raposo R. 77. Wibowo A. 20. Yeboah Y.	71. Cimermancic M. 77. De Rosario A. (G) 25. Edwards N. 78. Henry M. 29. Kerr D. 76. Stefanovic L.
Coaches
Cherundolo S.	Fraser R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ebobisse J. ⚽,
17', Delgado M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Thompson K. 🟨,
60', Martinez D. (Pen),
67', Martinez D. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
67', Smolyakov A. ↓, Hollingshead R. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Amaya F. ⚽, Segura E. (A),
76', Vilsaint J. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
76', Ebobisse J. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,
76', Moran A. ↓, Yeboah Y. ↑,
78', Cifuentes J. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
83', Dominguez M. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
84', Delgado M. ↓, Jailson ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

Los Angeles is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Los Angeles is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Los Angeles is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Los Angeles: Holm O. T. (Leg Injury) Igor Jesus (Knee Injury) Long A. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Long K. (Lower-Body Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Los Angeles will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Los Angeles won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Los Angeles - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 61.51%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Angeles FC
MLS
05.10.25	Los Angeles - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	St. Louis City - Los Angeles	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Los Angeles - Real Salt Lake	4:1 ✺
17.09.25	Real Salt Lake - Los Angeles	1:4 ✺
13.09.25	San Jose Earthquakes - Los Angeles	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWWW
- Toronto FC
MLS
04.10.25	Chicago Fire - Toronto FC	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Toronto FC - Inter Miami	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Columbus Crew - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	New England Revolution - Toronto FC	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Toronto FC - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.02.20	Los Angeles - Toronto FC	3:1
MLS
21.09.19	Los Angeles - Toronto FC	1:1
01.09.18	Toronto FC - Los Angeles	2:4

Upcoming Matches