Match Info

Date: 5 March 2021, Friday


	FC Oss		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.75	1.75
	4.1	3.75	1.67
	4.1	3.75	1.78
	4.3	3.5	1.75
	4.62	3.83	1.81
	4.33	3.4	1.7
	4.38	3.7	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↑ (3.73)	3.67 ↑ (3.64)	1.74 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Oss
21.4%

Draw
25.3%

Go Ahead Eagles
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

25.4%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

19.6%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Oss has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Oss than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	15.4%	76.9%

FC Oss - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Oss will win (votes: 4 - 7.7%). Go Ahead will win (votes: 40 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 65.4% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).

Oss is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Go Ahead is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Go Ahead is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Oss won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Oss won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Oss
Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.03.21	NAC Breda - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
20.02.21	FC Oss - Almere City	2:4 ✺
16.02.21	Cambuur - FC Oss	3:0 ✺
05.02.21	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	6:0 ✺
29.01.21	De Graafschap - FC Oss	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
26.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong PSV	1:0 ✺
22.02.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	0:3 ✺
13.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:0 ✺
05.02.21	FC Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
02.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
10.01.21	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	1:0
14.09.19	FC Oss - Go Ahead Eagles	1:2
22.04.19	FC Oss - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0
23.11.18	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	0:1
23.02.18	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	2:1
06.10.17	FC Oss - Go Ahead Eagles	1:6
18.03.16	Go Ahead Eagles - FC Oss	5:0

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