Match Info

Date: 22 February 2021, Monday


	Jong AZ Alkmaar		Go Ahead Eagles

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.75	1.75	Watch
	3.6	3.7	1.78
	3.6	3.95	1.84	Watch
	3.75	3.8	1.78
	4.08	4.17	1.83
	3.7	3.6	1.78	Watch
	3.88	3.98	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↑ (3.7)	3.85 ↑ (3.74)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jong AZ Alkmaar
24.2%

Draw
24.2%

Go Ahead Eagles
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

24.9%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

19.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Go Ahead Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Go Ahead Eagles could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
3.8%	3.8%	92.3%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles Predictions

Users Predictions: Go Ahead Eagles will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Eredivisie (Promotion)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Go Ahead is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Jong AZ won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Jong AZ won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jong AZ Alkmaar
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.02.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Utrecht	3:2 ✺
05.02.21	FC Oss - Jong AZ Alkmaar	6:0 ✺
01.02.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - FC Eindhoven	3:2 ✺
22.01.21	Telstar - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:2 ✺
15.01.21	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Almere City	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTL
- Go Ahead Eagles
Dutch Eerste Divisie
13.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar	1:0 ✺
05.02.21	FC Eindhoven - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
02.02.21	Go Ahead Eagles - Volendam	1:3 ✺
25.01.21	Jong Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	0:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
21.01.21	VVV-Venlo - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.12.20	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:1
04.10.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:1
05.04.19	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	1:0
14.09.18	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	3:2
12.03.18	Jong AZ Alkmaar - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0
27.10.17	Go Ahead Eagles - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:1

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