Match Info

K League 1 - Round 23

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Seoul World Cup Stadium (Seoul)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Germany	Laola1
Russia	TV Start
South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	FC Seoul		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3	Watch
	2.37	3.20	2.90
	2.3	3.15	2.85
	2.38	3.48	3.15
	2.23	3.37	3.15	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3.05
	2.26	3.39	3.18	Watch
	2.34	3.25	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.47)	3.02 ↓ (3.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Seoul
40.8%

Draw
28.2%

Daejeon Citizen
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

26.7%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.3%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Seoul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Seoul's form might have worsened.

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daejeon Citizen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Seoul than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Seoul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Daejeon Citizen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: FC Seoul will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Gu Sung-Yun (G) 66. Park Soo-Il 5. Al Arab Y. 37. Ros J. 22. Kim Jin-Su (C) 7. Jeong Seung-Won 42. Son J. 6. Babec H. 10. Anderson Oliveira 8. Lee Seung-Mo 9. Klimala P.	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 33. Kim Moon-Hwan 4. Cho Sung-Gwon 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 11. Um Won-Sang 30. Kim Bong-Soo 6. Kang Yun-Sung 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C) 7. Ishida M.
Substitutes
19. Cheon Seong-Hoon 16. Choi Jun 41. Hwang Do-Yun 31. Kang Hyeon-Mu (G) 20. Lee Han-Do 27. Moon Seon-Min 88. Park Jang Han-Gyeol 40. Park Seong-hun 34. Song Min-Kyu	9. Diogo Oliveira 45. Ha Chang-Rae 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 35. Kim D. 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 44. Lee Soon-Min 19. Seo Jin-Su 8. Victor Bobsin 99. Yu Kang-Hyun
Coaches
Kim Gi-Dong	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Krivotsyuk A. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Joo Min-Kyu ⚽, Kang Yun-Sung (A),
41', Kang Yun-Sung 🟨,
42', Jeong Seung-Won 🟨,
45+6', Al Arab Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Lee Seung-Mo ↓, Moon Seon-Min ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Klimala P. ⚽,
62', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Yu Kang-Hyun ↑,
62', Ishida M. ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
62', Ludwigson G. ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Kim Jin-Su (Own goal),
63', Park Soo-Il ↓, Choi Jun ↑,
66', Seo Jin-Su 🟨,
68', Um Won-Sang ↓, Ha Chang-Rae ↑,
69', Son J. ↓, Song Min-Kyu ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Song Min-Kyu ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Song Min-Kyu ⚽, Moon Seon-Min (A),
88', Kim Moon-Hwan ↓, Victor Bobsin ↑,
89', Moon Seon-Min 🟨,
90+2', Anderson Oliveira ↓, Hwang Do-Yun ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Jeong Seung-Won ⚽, Song Min-Kyu (A),
90+4', Klimala P. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Seoul will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Seoul won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Seoul won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Seoul ✔	31	20	5	6	58:26	32	65
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43

Last Results with these Odds

FC Seoul - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.95%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 3.82 are the expected chance of winning is 24.31%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Seoul
South Korean K-League 1
08.08.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - FC Seoul	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Busan I Park - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
26.07.26	FC Seoul - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
22.07.26	FC Seoul - Pohang Steelers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLW
- Daejeon Citizen
South Korean K-League 1
08.08.26	Anyang - Daejeon Citizen	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Daejeon Citizen - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Daejeon Citizen	3:2 ✺
21.07.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Daejeon Citizen	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Daejeon Citizen - Ulsan HD	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
16.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	1:2
18.04.26	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	0:1
01.11.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	3:1
27.07.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:1
10.05.25	Daejeon Citizen - FC Seoul	0:0
12.04.25	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	2:2
14.09.24	FC Seoul - Daejeon Citizen	2:3

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