The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Incheon United 41.4%
Draw 30%
Jeju 28.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.5%
29.2%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.4%
28.8%
29.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Incheon United aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
50%
10%
Incheon United - Jeju Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% โ 81%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 17. Kim Seong-Min 15. Seo Jae-Min 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 70. Leandro Ribeiro 72. Lee Chung-Yong 9. Mugosa S.
1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 3. Celestine J. 2. Figueiredo T. 40. Kim Ryun-sung 33. Park Su-bin 6. Kwon Gi-min 8. Lee Chang-Min (C) 94. Emerson Negueba 10. Lee G. 22. Cinari E.
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 99. Ferrier M. 11. Gerso 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 26. Lee Min-Hyuk 3. Lee Sang-Gi 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 20. Park Kyung-sub 77. Park Seung-Ho
24. Choi Byung-wook 81. Heo J. (G) 13. Jeong Woon 55. Kang Dong-hwi 41. Kim Jae-Woo 18. Kim Shin-Jin 7. Park Chang-Jun 47. Park Min-jae 23. Rim Chang-Woo
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan
Costa S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Ibiza 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', Kim Ryun-sung 🟨,
53', Kim Seong-Min ↓, Lee Dong-Ryul ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Lee Myoung-Joo ⚽, Mugosa S. (A),
60', Kwon Gi-min ↓, Park Chang-Jun ↑,
61', Cinari E. ↓, Kim Shin-Jin ↑,
64', Lee G. 🟨,
66', Yu In-Soo 🟥,
69', Kim Dong-Heon 🟨,
72', 1 - 1, Emerson Negueba ⚽,
74', Lee G. ↓, Kim Jae-Woo ↑,
78', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Lee Dong-Ryul ⚽,
85', Park Su-bin 🟨,
85', Park Su-bin ↓, Kang Dong-hwi ↑,
85', Lee Chang-Min ↓, Rim Chang-Woo ↑,
86', Kim Shin-Jin 🟨,
86', Celestine J. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Lee Chung-Yong ⚽, Ferrier M. (A),
90+5', Mugosa S. ↓, Park Seung-Ho ↑,
90+5', Lee Chung-Yong ↓, Gerso ↑,
90+5', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2.
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Incheon could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Jeju has had a run of games away from home.
Incheon is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Incheon has recorded 8 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:25 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Incheon against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.1:1.2 per game).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Incheon
33
12
10
11
43:35
8
46
Last Results with these Odds
Incheon United - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.53%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Jeju - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.23%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Kim Dong-Heon (G) 
Ibiza 
Leandro Ribeiro 
Mugosa S. 
Celestine J. 
Figueiredo T. 
Cinari E. 
Ferrier M. 
Gerso 
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