Match Info

K League 1 - Round 10

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
Switzerland	LAOLA1
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Jeju

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	4	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.2	3.85
	2	3.45	4.31
	1.92	3.43	3.98	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.9
	1.94	3.35	3.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2)	3.28 ↑ (3.27)	3.94 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
47.9%

Draw
28.4%

Jeju
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27.4%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Jeju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Jeju aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Incheon United - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Jeju will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Lee Tae-Hui (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 20. Park Kyung-sub 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 11. Gerso 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 15. Seo Jae-Min 10. Lee Dong-Ryul 9. Mugosa S. 72. Lee Chung-Yong	1. Kim Dong-Jun (G) 17. Yu In-Soo 6. Kwon Gi-min 41. Kim Jae-Woo 40. Kim Ryun-sung (C) 22. Kwon Chang-Hoon 14. Oh Jae-Hyeok 20. Jang M. 7. Park Chang-Jun 94. Emerson Negueba 27. Kim Jun-ha
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 99. Ferrier M. 1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 4. Kim Gun-Hee 17. Kim Seong-Min 3. Lee Sang-Gi 19. Park Ho-Min 77. Park Seung-Ho 8. Undabarrena I.	24. Choi Byung-wook 29. Heo J. W. (G) 13. Jeong Woon 28. Kim Geon-Ung 39. Kim Jae-min 18. Kim Shin-Jin 10. Nam Tae-Hee 9. Paulauskas G. 23. Rim Chang-Woo
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Costa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Yu In-Soo 🟨,
45+1', Kim Myung-soon 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Undabarrena I. ↑,
59', Park Chang-Jun ↓, Nam Tae-Hee ↑,
61', Gerso ↓, Ferrier M. ↑,
66', Kwon Gi-min ↓, Kim Geon-Ung ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Ferrier M. ⚽, Lee Dong-Ryul (A),
76', Lee Dong-Ryul ↓, Kim Seong-Min ↑,
78', Kwon Chang-Hoon ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
81', Kim Geon-Ung 🟨,
87', Kim Myung-soon ↓, Choi Seung-gu ↑,
87', Park Kyung-sub ↓, Kim Gun-Hee ↑,
90+3', Choi Seung-gu 🟨,
90+3', Kim Seong-Min 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Jeju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Incheon could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:24. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Incheon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Jeju SK	31	12	10	9	36:31	5	46
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
21.04.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Incheon United	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Bucheon - Incheon United	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Incheon United - Ulsan HD	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Incheon United - Gimcheon Sangmu	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Anyang - Incheon United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLWW
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
22.04.26	Daejeon Citizen - Jeju	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Jeju - Gimcheon Sangmu	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pohang Steelers - Jeju	0:2 ✺
04.04.26	Jeju - Bucheon	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Gangwon - Jeju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
19.10.24	Incheon United - Jeju	1:2
10.08.24	Jeju - Incheon United	0:1
26.06.24	Jeju - Incheon United	1:0
06.04.24	Incheon United - Jeju	0:1
16.09.23	Incheon United - Jeju	2:1
10.05.23	Jeju - Incheon United	2:0
12.03.23	Incheon United - Jeju	1:0

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