Match Info

K League 1 - Round 30

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sungui Arena Park (Incheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
South-korea	Coupang Play, ENA Sports
World	K League TV


	Incheon United		Daejeon Citizen

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.25	2.20	Watch
	3.00	3.20	2.35
	2.65	3.05	2.40
	3.19	3.31	2.44
	2.84	3.29	2.45	Watch
	3.15	3.25	2.35
	3.12	3.38	2.29	Watch
	3.00	3.25	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.7)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	2.35 ↓ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Incheon United
31.3%

Draw
28.8%

Daejeon Citizen
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

28.2%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

27.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Incheon United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Daejeon Citizen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Incheon United than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daejeon Citizen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Incheon will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Daejeon Citizen will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.05) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kim Dong-Heon (G) 39. Kim Myung-soon 4. Kim Gun-Hee 2. Ibiza 32. Lee Ju-Yong 72. Lee Chung-Yong 15. Seo Jae-Min 5. Lee Myoung-Joo (C) 70. Leandro Ribeiro 9. Mugosa S. 99. Ferrier M.	1. Lee Chang-Geun (G) 6. Kang Yun-Sung 45. Ha Chang-Rae 98. Krivotsyuk A. 16. Lee Myung-Jae 44. Lee Soon-Min 8. Victor Bobsin 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 7. Ishida M. 17. Ludwigson G. 10. Joo Min-Kyu (C)
Substitutes
13. Choi Seung-gu 11. Gerso 23. Jeong Chi-In 17. Kim Seong-Min 28. Kim Yeon-Soo 30. Kim Young-whan 26. Lee Min-Hyuk 3. Lee Sang-Gi 21. Lee Tae-Hui (G)	4. Cho Sung-Gwon 9. Diogo Oliveira 13. Kim Jin-Ya 14. Kim Jun-Beom 31. Kim Min-Soo (G) 20. Lee H. 41. Park Byung-chan 19. Seo Jin-Su 11. Um Won-Sang
Coaches
Yoon Jong-Hwan	Hwang Sun-Hong

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Krivotsyuk A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Ferrier M. ⚽,
42', Kang Yun-Sung 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ludwigson G. ↓, Seo Jin-Su ↑,
60', Jeong Jae-Hee ↓, Um Won-Sang ↑,
60', Ishida M. ↓, Kim Jun-Beom ↑,
68', Ferrier M. ↓, Gerso ↑,
78', Joo Min-Kyu ↓, Diogo Oliveira ↑,
83', Leandro Ribeiro ↓, Jeong Chi-In ↑,
83', Kim Myung-soon ↓, Choi Seung-gu ↑,
84', Lee Myoung-Joo ↓, Lee Min-Hyuk ↑,
89', Victor Bobsin ↓, Lee H. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 1, Kang Yun-Sung ⚽, Lee Myung-Jae (A),

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 8th in the K League 1 (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion ~ K League 1 (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Incheon won 1.

Incheon is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Daejeon Citizen is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Daejeon Citizen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Incheon has recorded 13 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 31:18 (averaging 1.6:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Incheon against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 18:13 goals (averaging 1.6:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Daejeon	31	11	10	10	48:38	10	43
7	Incheon	31	11	9	11	39:33	6	42

Last Results with these Odds

Incheon United - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.27%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Daejeon Citizen - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.58%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Incheon United
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Ulsan HD - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Incheon United - Bucheon	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	FC Seoul - Incheon United	1:0 ✺
30.08.26	Incheon United - Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Anyang - Incheon United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLTL
- Daejeon Citizen
AFC Champions League
15.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Kyoto Sanga	1:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
12.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Pohang Steelers	2:2 ✺
09.09.26	Daejeon Citizen - Anyang	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Bucheon - Daejeon Citizen	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Jeju - Daejeon Citizen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
05.05.26	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	0:0
18.03.26	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:3
10.11.24	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	1:2
17.08.24	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	2:1
18.05.24	Daejeon Citizen - Incheon United	0:1
30.03.24	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	2:0
16.07.23	Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen	2:0

Incheon United - Daejeon Citizen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide