Match Info

Estonian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)


	FC Tallinn		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
	11.50	7.00	1.16
	8.50	5.80	1.20
	11.50	7.83	1.24
	10	7.5	1.17	Watch
	5.45	7.75	1.22
	11.20	6.34	1.20
	12.00	6.40	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.02 ↑ (7.5)	6.95 ↑ (5.7)	1.19 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
9.2%

Draw
13.3%

Harju JK Laagri
77.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

16.1%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Harju JK Laagri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Harju JK Laagri's recent form is better than expected.

FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Jarvine O. (G) 95. Avilov V. 10. Dmitrijev A. (C) 41. Iljin A. 44. Nesterov K. 25. Shevyakov D. 29. Toropov A. 28. Tsendei S. 27. Ussatsov I. 77. Vynnychuk A. 91. Zaharenkov N.	79. Meesit R. (G) 19. Binate A. 17. Kelement M. 32. Kerge S. 22. Kesa M. 24. Laur K. 6. Palutaja H. 7. Reimaa R. (C) 23. Rudenko Daniil 88. Seck M. 21. Soo S.
Substitutes
20. Arhipov L. 6. Girsik T. 78. Irha E. 39. Istsenko V. 9. Kulik V. 89. Leis L. 1. Liiker S. (G) 4. Mohhov I. 26. Toome O.	18. Bah I. 47. Ennuste K. 3. Kaevats A. 41. Kajari E. 11. Kose A. 15. Liit S. 53. Ndakala J. 66. Roomussaar K. 36. Salei S. 95. Suppi S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
26', 0 - 1, Binate A. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Kelement M. ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 3, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 7)
53', 0 - 4, Rudenko Daniil (Penalty Awarded),
55', 🟨,
58', 0 - 5, Binate A. ⚽,
61', 0 - 6, Binate A. ⚽,
63', 0 - 7, Ndakala J. ⚽,
64', 0 - 8, Rudenko Daniil ⚽,
75', 0 - 9, Kerge S. ⚽,
83', 🟨,
85', 0 - 10, ⚽,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for FC Tallinn (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Harju have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Harju could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, Harju enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, FC Tallinn has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:11 (averaging 1.2:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for FC Tallinn against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
19.09.26	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	FC Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:5 ✺
03.09.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	FC Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju U21	0:2 ✺
23.08.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - FC Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TLWLL
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Harju JK Laagri	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Nõmme United - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
27.10.24	FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	0:2
03.08.24	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	2:1
29.06.24	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	1:1
09.03.24	FC Tallinn - Harju JK Laagri	1:1
Club Friendly
18.02.22	Harju JK Laagri - FC Tallinn	5:3

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