Match Info

Estonian Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)


	Tammeka		Viimsi JK

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.40	4.50	5.75
	1.38	4.60	5.10
	1.3	5.5	7.8
	1.33	4.93	7.4	Watch
	1.29	4.75	7.25
	1.33	5.35	7.14	Watch
	1.29	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.58)	4.95 ↑ (4.44)	6.78 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka
68.2%

Draw
18.4%

Viimsi JK
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

20.8%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

19.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tammeka's performance.

Viimsi JK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viimsi JK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tammeka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viimsi JK than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viimsi JK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Tammeka - Viimsi JK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tammeka will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Viimsi JK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 17. Amijekori J. 7. Thomas Lisboa 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 23. Veelma P. 24. Pedmanson H. 79. Marin P. 10. Uggeri G. 99. Hydara M. 9. Sambe M.	12. Lahe C. (G) 3. Jalle M. 25. Allast M. 7. Kore J. 22. Laidvee R. (C) 43. Murage J. 23. Aziz A. L. 9. Lehtmets R. 20. Laidvee R. 34. Agyemang E. 77. Vahe R.
Substitutes
2. Jurgenthal G. 14. Karis K. 89. Kauan Pereira 8. Kiidron K. 13. Laabus R. 22. Lang T. 11. Muur R. 27. Ounpuu L. 12. Sahtel K. (G) 4. Vaino M. 25. Viinapuu A.	96. Kollist J. T. 70. Kuttis R. 89. Laur S. 31. Lille P. (G) 6. Lode R. 38. Luts J. 15. Milk K. 99. Vaherna M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kangaslahti O. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Sambe M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
51', 3 - 0, Sambe M. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Vahe R. ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, Thomas Lisboa ⚽,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Tammeka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Tammeka is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Tammeka has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:1 (averaging 2.7:0.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tammeka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Tammeka - Paide LM	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW
- Viimsi JK
Estonian Esiliiga
17.09.26	Viimsi JK - Tartu Welco	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Nõmme United U21 - Viimsi JK	1:0 ✺
10.09.26	Viimsi JK - Elva	5:0 ✺
03.09.26	Viimsi JK - FC Tallinn	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tartu Welco - Viimsi JK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
15.02.26	Tammeka - Viimsi JK	2:0
Estonian Esiliiga
03.12.23	Tammeka - Viimsi JK	1:1
29.11.23	Viimsi JK - Tammeka	0:5

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