Match Info

Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Variety 1
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1
Azerbaijan	00:00	CBC Sport
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 6
Germany	21:00	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, WOW
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Kosovo	21:00	ART Sport 4
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Mexico	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Variety 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Singapore	04:00	beIN Connect
Slovakia	21:00	Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Variety 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 15
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Sport 24, VIX App


	FCSB		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.33	1.5
	4.33	3.6	1.83
	6.1	4.35	1.55
	5.91	4.4	1.55
	5.51	4.41	1.57
	5.75	4	1.5
	6.41	4.44	1.54
	5.66	4.5	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (4.39)	4.25 ↑ (3.67)	1.57 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
16.7%

Draw
22.5%

Fenerbahçe
60.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.8%

26.1%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

25.6%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	13.6%	81.8%

FCSB - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.42% – 93.22%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (12 of 16 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. FCSB (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 28. Pantea A. 30. Ngezana S. 4. Graovac D. 33. Radunovic R. 42. Alhassan B. 16. Lixandru M. 11. Miculescu D. 27. Olaru D. (C) 20. Politic D. 93. Thiam M.	31. Ederson (G) 27. Semedo N. 4. Soyuncu C. (C) 24. Oosterwolde J. 18. Muldur M. 94. Talisca 7. Fred 5. Yuksek I. 45. Nene D. 19. En Nesyri Y. 9. Akturkoglu K.
Substitutes
31. Cisotti J. 2. Cretu V. 6. Dancus A. 5. Dawa J. 12. Kiki D. 37. Popescu O. 22. Toma M. 34. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)	21. Asensio M. 70. Aydin O. 39. Biterge E. (G) 13. Cetin T. (G) 14. Demir Y. E. 54. Ekici A. 67. Uregen K.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Tedesco D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Yuksek I. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
28', Yuksek I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Politic D. ↓, Cisotti J. ↑,
46', Miculescu D. ↓, Popescu O. ↑,
62', Yuksek I. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
66', Olaru D. ↓, Toma M. ↑,
70', Pantea A. ↓, Cretu V. ↑,
70', Talisca ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
70', Nene D. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Cisotti J. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
78', Ederson 🟨,
87', Fred 🟨,
89', Cisotti J. 🟨,

Preview

FCSB is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fenerbahçe is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fenerbahçe is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in FCSB: Alibec D. (Inactive) Arad O. (Injury) Birligea D. (Yellow Cards) Cercel I. (Knee Injury) Duarte A. (Inactive) Popescu M. (Knee Injury) Stoian A. (Inactive) Tanase F. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Brown A. (Injury) Fall A. (Inactive) Guendouzi M. (Inactive) Gunok M. (Inactive) Mercan L. (Muscle Injury) Mor E. (Inactive) Musaba A. (Inactive) Skriniar M. (Yellow Cards) Yandas M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Yuksek I. (Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
25.01.26	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Dinamo Zagreb - FCSB	4:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
16.01.26	Argeș Pitești - FCSB	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.01.26	Beşiktaş - FCSB	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
21.12.25	FCSB - Rapid Bucureşti	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLW
- Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League
25.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Göztepe	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.01.26	Fenerbahçe - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
18.01.26	Alanyaspor - Fenerbahçe	2:3 ✺
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Fenerbahçe	0:1 ✺
Turkish Super Cup
10.01.26	Galatasaray - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLWWW

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