Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Pennarossa		Faetano

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.2	3.15
	2.1	3.45	3.11	Watch
	2.05	3	3.1
	2.06	3.3	3.19
	2.08	3.2	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.12)	3.24 ↓ (3.64)	3.13 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pennarossa
43.4%

Draw
27.8%

Faetano
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

24.9%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

23.9%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pennarossa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Faetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pennarossa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Faetano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Pennarossa - Faetano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Pennarossa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pennarossa won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Pennarossa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pennarossa	4	1	0	3	7:16	-9	3
16	Faetano	4	0	2	2	1:9	-8	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.01.26	Virtus - Pennarossa	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Pennarossa - Fiorentino	2:4 ✺
17.01.26	Domagnano - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Juvenes-Dogana - Pennarossa	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pennarossa - Cosmos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LLTTT
- SC Faetano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
27.01.26	Faetano - Folgore	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Tre Penne - Faetano	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Faetano - Murata	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Tre Fiori - Faetano	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Faetano - Fiorentino	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2
San Marino Coppa Titano
22.10.24	Pennarossa - Faetano	0:0
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
18.10.24	Pennarossa - Faetano	2:0
17.03.24	Pennarossa - Faetano	4:3
10.12.23	Faetano - Pennarossa	2:0
12.03.23	Pennarossa - Faetano	0:2
13.11.22	Faetano - Pennarossa	2:1

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