The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Zob Ahan 34.3%
Draw 34.1%
Fajr Sepasi 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.7%
33.3%
39%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
34.2%
38%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zob Ahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zob Ahan's performance.
Fajr Sepasi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fajr Sepasi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zob Ahan than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zob Ahan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fajr Sepasi than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fajr Sepasi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Zob Ahan - Fajr Sepasi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 23. Jeddi A. 6. Mohammadi N. 4. Ghaderi A. 19. Ghazipour P. 14. Mokhtari P. 17. Jalaleddin A. 10. Pahlevan E. 77. Kazemi A. 11. Jafari R. 70. Latifi O.
98. Rezaei A. (G) 11. Moradi M. 21. Azhir M. 15. Mousavi M. 4. Jafarikia S. 66. Motlaghzadeh M. 6. Rigi M. 8. Esmaeili F. 77. Ashouri S. 78. Sharifi M. 3. Helichi A.
Substitutes
21. Ali Khalidi M. 49. Baghban H. 28. Entezari N. 30. Eslami A. 3. Ghahremani E. 2. Hosseinifar A. 1. Jafari P. (G) 79. Khaghani S. 71. Mortazavi A. 88. Shoushtari H. 57. Taherkhani S.
9. Bozorg S. 1. Gholamzadeh A. (G) 31. Mohammadreza J. 14. Niknafs Z. 19. Rostami Y. 30. Taher A. 12. Vosoughifard A. 7. Zare S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Mohammadi N. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Latifi O. ⚽, Kazemi A. (A),
37', Moradi M. ↓, Rostami Y. ↑,
37', Esmaeili F. ↓, Ashouri S. ↑,
37', Rigi M. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sharifi M. ↓, Bozorg S. ↑,
46', Babaei P. ↓, Zare S. ↑,
53', Mokhtari P. 🟨,
60', Pahlevan E. ↓, Entezari N. ↑,
60', Mokhtari P. ↓, Shoushtari H. ↑,
60', Kazemi A. ↓, Mortazavi A. ↑,
70', Mousavi M. 🟨,
76', Mohammadi N. 🟨,
82', Jalaleddin A. ↓, Ghahremani E. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Rostami Y. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Azadegan League and 8).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zob Ahan won 2.
Zob Ahan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Fajr Sepasi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Fajr Sepasi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Zob Ahan won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Zob Ahan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
Iran
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Noushi Soufiani D. (G) 
Jafari R. 
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