Match Info

Date: 10 April 2022, Sunday


	Fakel		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	2.27	3.05	2.85
	2.4	3.39	3.02
	2.39	3.36	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.22)	3.27 ↑ (3.26)	2.93 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
39.6%

Draw
28.5%

Alania Vladikavkaz
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28.5%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.4%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (-3%)

Fakel - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL (Promotion)).

Fakel is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alania is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Fakel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian FNL
06.04.22	Spartak 2 Moscow - Fakel	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Fakel - Kuban Krasnodar	0:0 ✺
26.03.22	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Fakel	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Fakel - Torpedo Moscow	0:1 ✺
12.03.22	Krasnodar 2 - Fakel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLW
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL
06.04.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Baltika Kaliningrad	0:3 ✺
02.04.22	Metallurg Lipetsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:3 ✺
26.03.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Volgar Astrakhan	0:1 ✺
19.03.22	SKA Khabarovsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Alania Vladikavkaz - Olimp Dolgoprudny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
29.09.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Fakel	1:0
07.04.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Fakel	2:0
13.10.20	Fakel - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:0

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