Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 12 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)


	Fakel		Torpedo-BelAZ

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.7
	1.63	3.65	4.25
	1.64	4.05	5.2	Watch
	1.61	3.8	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.69)	3.83 ↑ (3.42)	4.71 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fakel
56.5%

Draw
24%

Torpedo-BelAZ
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

27.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

28.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fakel's performance.

Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torpedo-BelAZ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (-20.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fakel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torpedo-BelAZ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fakel - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudiev V. (G) 10. Alshin I. 92. Bryzgalov S. 17. Giorgobiani N. 9. Kashtanov A. 33. Kvekveskiri I. (C) 20. Markov E. 88. Masternoy V. 6. Mertens D. 72. Senhadji R. 22. Yurganov I.	1. Abramovich E. (G) 44. Butarevich A. 17. Kovalev A. 55. Ksenofontov A. 51. Laptev D. 11. Levitskiy D. 97. Myakish M. 27. Nechaev D. 30. Pobudey V. 19. Rutskiy I. 13. Zaleski A.
Substitutes
. Bagamaev A. . Bagatelia L. . Belenov A. (G) . Cele T. . Dziov M. . Kalinichev V. (G) . Shchetinin M. . Simonov K.	. Burko I. . Cobet A. . Ladutko M. . Manaev V. . Melko V. . Mikhailov G. . Patsko N. . Prishivalko P. (G) . Pritsker M. . Ruban S. . Sharkovsky T. . Zheleznyi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
44', 🟨,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 🟨,
61', 🟨,
77', 🟨,
84', 0 - 3, ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
06.10.24	Fakel - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.24	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	0:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
27.09.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:0 ✺
21.09.24	Zenit - Fakel	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Fakel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWTLL
- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.10.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gomel	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Naftan - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Minsk	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Smorgon - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
07.09.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TTTWL

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