Match Info

RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 10

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Fakel Stadium (Voronezh)

Referee: Meshkov V. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Kazakhstan	Q Sport International, Q Sport
Russia	Sportbox.ru


	Fakel		Rubin Kazan

	1	X	2
	3.38	2.92	2.52
	3.36	3.13	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (2.75)	3.03 ↓ (3.36)	2.52 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fakel
29%

Draw
32.3%

Rubin Kazan
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.3%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

31.2%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fakel's form might have worsened.

Rubin Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	22.2%	77.8%

Fakel - Rubin Kazan Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rubin: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belenov A. (G) 10. Alshin I. 47. Bozhin S. 7. Brahimi M. 4. Dziov M. 64. Ivlev A. 13. Kalinin I. 9. Kashtanov A. 20. Markov E. 21. Shchetinin M. 23. Yakimov V.	38. Staver E. (G) 90. Cuni M. 10. Daku M. 27. Gritsaenko A. 22. Hodza V. 6. Iwu U. 70. Kabutov D. 51. Rozhkov I. 2. Teslenko E. 15. Vujacic I. 21. Zotov A.
Substitutes
8. Bagamaev A. 92. Bryzgalov S. 5. Cele T. 17. Giorgobiani N. 1. Gudiev V. (G) 15. Iljin V. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 88. Masternoy V. 6. Mertens D. 11. Motpan N. 72. Senhadji R. 22. Yurganov I.	18. Apshatsev M. 5. Ashurmatov R. 23. Bezrukov R. 24. Cumic N. 20. Fameyeh J. 19. Ivanov O. 86. Korets N. (G) 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 71. Nizhegorodov K. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 99. Shabanhaxhaj D. 30. Vada V.
Coaches
Pyatibratov D.	Rakhimov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Iwu U. 🟨,
33', Vujacic I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Kalinin I. 🟨,
60', Ivlev A. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
69', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
77', Alshin I. ↓, Motpan N. ↑,
77', Markov E. ↓, Iljin V. ↑,
82', Zotov A. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
82', Hodza V. ↓, Vada V. ↑,
90+3', Cuni M. ↓, Cumic N. ↑,
90+5', Kalinin I. ↓, Masternoy V. ↑,
90+5', Brahimi M. ↓, Yurganov I. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 8).

Fakel has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rubin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There are questionable in Rubin: Jukic A. (Injury) Vujacic I. (Leg Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fakel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Fakel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fakel Voronezh
Russian Premier League
21.09.24	Zenit - Fakel	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
18.09.24	Akron Tolyatti - Fakel	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
14.09.24	Fakel - Nizhny Novgorod	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Rostov - Fakel	4:1 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League
21.09.24	Rubin Kazan - CSKA Moscow	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
17.09.24	Zenit - Rubin Kazan	2:0 ✺
Russian Premier League
13.09.24	Rubin Kazan - Krylya Sovetov	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Spartak Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
27.08.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
27.08.24	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:2
Russian Premier League
26.11.23	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	1:0
25.09.23	Fakel - Rubin Kazan	0:1
Club Friendly
20.01.22	Rubin Kazan - Fakel	4:4

Upcoming Matches