Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Falcon		Bahia de Feira

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.55
	2.4	3.1	2.65
	2.58	3.11	2.53
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.72	2.94	2.64
	2.55	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.13)	3.01 ↓ (5.5)	2.61 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
35.6%

Draw
29.9%

Bahia de Feira
34.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

16.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Falcon's form might have worsened.

Bahia de Feira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia de Feira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falcon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia de Feira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Falcon - Bahia de Feira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bahia de Feira will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Falcon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahia de Feira is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Falcon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Serie D
15.06.23	Jacuipense - Falcon	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Falcon - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Falcon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT
- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1

Falcon - Bahia de Feira