Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 11

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday


	Falcon		Cruzeiro Arapiraca

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.7
	1.8	3.2	4
	1.85	3.09	4.05
	2.01	3.22	3.6
	1.87	3.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	3.16 ↓ (3.21)	3.87 ↓ (4.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
48%

Draw
28.6%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

28%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Falcon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Falcon - Cruzeiro Arapiraca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

The competitors look crappy now.

In this match Falcon is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Falcon	1:0 ✺
18.06.23	Falcon - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
15.06.23	Jacuipense - Falcon	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.23	Sergipe - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	2:1 ✺
18.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.05.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Falcon	1:1

Falcon - Cruzeiro Arapiraca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide