Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 10

Date: 27 June 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Sergipe		Cruzeiro Arapiraca

	1	X	2
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.4	3.85	6.75
	1.51	3.45	6.28
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.47	4.05	6.3
	1.45	3.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)	3.87 ↓ (4.03)	6.31 ↓ (8.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sergipe
62.3%

Draw
23.4%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
14.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.5%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.4%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sergipe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sergipe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sergipe - Cruzeiro Arapiraca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sergipe will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 5).

Recent matches Sergipe is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sergipe is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sergipe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sergipe
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Retrô Brasil - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
14.06.23	Sergipe - Atlético de Alagoinhas	2:3 ✺
10.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Sergipe	1:1 ✺
07.06.23	Sergipe - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTLW
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Jacuipense	1:0 ✺
14.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3

Sergipe - Cruzeiro Arapiraca