Match Info

BRAZIL: SERGIPANO - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday


	Falcon		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3.16	2.99	2.17
	3.16	2.99	2.17
	3.12	3.15	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.38)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	2.16 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcon
28.9%

Draw
29.4%

Lagarto
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.3%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

28.4%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Lagarto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcon than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (+3%)

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Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Sergipano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Falcon is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Lagarto is Qualified for Sergipano (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Falcon is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lagarto is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Falcon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lagarto will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Falcon won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcon FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
02.03.24	Falcon - Carmópolis	0:0 ✺
24.02.24	Sergipe - Falcon	0:1 ✺
21.02.24	Falcon - América de Propriá	2:2 ✺
18.02.24	Itabaiana - Falcon	4:0 ✺
05.02.24	Falcon - Atlético Gloriense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TWTLW
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
13.03.24	Lagarto - Confiança	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Itabaiana - Lagarto	2:2 ✺
17.02.24	Lagarto - Carmópolis	2:0 ✺
10.02.24	Olimpico EC - Lagarto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Lagarto - Dorense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
20.01.24	Lagarto - Falcon	1:1
21.01.23	Lagarto - Falcon	1:0

Falcon - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide