Match Info

ASIA: AFC Challenge League - Round 1

Date: 27 October 2024, Sunday

Location: MFF Football Centre (Ulaanbaatar)


	Falcons		Madura United

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.8	1.83
	3.44	3.9	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.32 ↑ (3.12)	3.85 ↓ (3.93)	1.88 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcons
27.6%

Draw
23.8%

Madura United
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

23.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

22.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Madura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Falcons - Madura United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Khandaa T. (G) 3. Thiago Tomais S. C. 11. Vlademir Everton 10. Munkh-Erdene T. 2. Toyoda T. 22. Krusevac N. 7. Myagmar B. 16. Nagata S. 96. Guara M. 23. Otgontsagaan S. 77. Ferreira A.	98. Dida (G) 3. Monteiro P. 68. Rusadi A. 25. Afrisal R. 22. Sanjaya I. 4. Wehrmann J. 36. Syah I. 17. Irfan A. 14. Sokoy F. 11. Lulinha 9. Silva M.
Substitutes
5. Altansukh L. 8. Bat-Erdene B. 4. Dolgoon S. 1. Erdenebat E. 98. Erdene-Ochir K. 9. Maratkhan J. 71. Musatkin D. 99. Namsrai B. 13. Saikhanbayar O. 24. Tengis P. (G) 18. Thiago	35. Abdillah H. 7. Akada N. 33. Araya K. 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 24. Muslihuddin T. 44. Nurdiansyah 19. Putra H. 42. Ramzy F. 5. Rontini C. 77. Samosir S. 96. Usemahu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Irfan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Irfan A. ↓, Muslihuddin T. ↑,
77', Vlademir Everton ↓, Musatkin D. ↑,
80', Afrisal R. ↓, Samosir S. ↑,
89', Sanjaya I. ↓, Araya K. ↑,
90+5', Myagmar B. ↓, Erdene-Ochir K. ↑,

Preview

Falcons in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Madura United is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Madura United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SP Falcons
Mongolian Premier League
18.10.24	Falcons - Khangarid	3:1 ✺
12.10.24	Falcons - Deren	2:1 ✺
08.10.24	Khoromkhon - Falcons	0:8 ✺
25.09.24	Khovd - Falcons	0:1 ✺
22.09.24	Falcons - Khaan Khuns-Erchim	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
23.10.24	Madura United - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ✺
18.10.24	PSM Makassar - Madura United	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Madura United - Persib Bandung	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Dewa United - Madura United	3:3 ✺
17.09.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLTTL

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