Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 29 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Oppong F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 6, Max, TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Umeå

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.75
	1.37	4.75	6.75
				Watch
	1.44	4.92	6.61
				Watch
	1.36	4.6	7
	1.45	4.83	5.85	Watch
	1.37	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)	4.78 ↓ (4.8)	6.49 ↓ (6.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
66.3%

Draw
19.4%

Umeå
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

19.6%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.6%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Umeå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Falkenberg - Umeå Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Falkenberg will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 28. Nilsson M. 30. Aguda G. 17. Sibelius L. 10. Shahin L. 21. Andersson A.	1. Eriksson P. (G) 17. Martiatu Nordeman A. 4. Ohman L. 15. Westin T. 19. Olsson T. 12. Yeboah E. (C) 8. Hedstrom J. 7. Vikgren L. 24. Marklund L. 10. Bjorgolfsson E. 32. Voilas J.
Substitutes
12. Carlsson C. 9. Gotfredsen R. 5. Hansson N. 2. Johansson G. 33. Larsson M. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 14. Shears I.	16. Bangala D. 14. Cederblad E. 26. Ekman D. 6. Lindmark S. 18. Othman R. 28. Persson D. 31. Uppenberg M. (G)
Coaches
Andersson C.	Baath-Sjoblom A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Nilsson M. ⚽, Shahin L. (A),
29', Martiatu Nordeman A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Yeboah E. 🟨,
58', Shahin L. ↓, Gotfredsen R. ↑,
58', Lindberg O. ↓, Shears I. ↑,
65', Yeboah E. ↓, Lindmark S. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Gotfredsen R. ⚽, Shears I. (A),
68', Gotfredsen R. 🟨,
77', Hedstrom J. ↓, Bangala D. ↑,
77', Marklund L. ↓, Othman R. ↑,
85', Martiatu Nordeman A. ↓, Persson D. ↑,
85', Vikgren L. ↓, Cederblad E. ↑,
90', Andersson A. ↓, Carlsson C. ↑,
90', Sibelius L. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Falkenberg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Umeå's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Falkenberg is the obvious favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
22.06.25	Sandviken - Falkenberg	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Falkenberg - Helsingborg	2:2 ✺
01.06.25	Sundsvall - Falkenberg	0:0 ✺
26.05.25	Landskrona - Falkenberg	0:3 ✺
21.05.25	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LTTWW
- Umeå FC
Swedish Superettan
23.06.25	Helsingborg - Umeå	5:1 ✺
14.06.25	Umeå - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Västerås SK - Umeå	2:2 ✺
26.05.25	Umeå - Örgryte	3:3 ✺
22.05.25	Kalmar - Umeå	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLTTL

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