Match Info

Superettan - Round 9

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Referee: Beigi R. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Falkenberg		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.5	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.87
	2.39	3.28	2.94	Watch
	2.38	3.45	3.01
	2.35	3.33	2.94	Watch
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.32	3.46	2.86	Watch
	2.39	3.28	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)	3.31 ↓ (3.55)	2.92 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
39.8%

Draw
28.2%

Trelleborg
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

25.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Falkenberg - Trelleborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Falkenberg: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andersson A. (G) 18. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 17. Sibelius L. 10. Shahin L. 21. Andersson A.	1. Larsen A. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 3. Weberg C. (C) 15. Godwin E. 21. Alievski E. 16. Asani A. 10. Vidjeskog A. 22. Martinsson F. 17. Bohman F. 11. Culum A.
Substitutes
12. Carlsson C. 5. Hansson N. 26. Hindi S. 2. Johansson G. 16. Kallstrom H. 31. Lillienberg G. (G) 14. Shears I.	24. Christiansson V. 26. Kack J. 25. Lofberg E. 12. Nilsson M. (G) 5. Ogwuche A. 4. Rehn A. 8. Ruuska O.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Jacobsson S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sibelius L. ⚽, Shahin L. (A),
30', 2 - 0, Andersson A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Borgstrom L. 🟨,
65', Martinsson F. ↓, Ruuska O. ↑,
65', Alievski E. ↓, Christiansson V. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Shahin L. ⚽, Andersson A. (A),
72', Andersson A. ↓, Shears I. ↑,
81', Lindberg O. ↓, Kallstrom H. ↑,
81', Shahin L. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
81', Culum A. ↓, Lofberg E. ↑,
83', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Kack J. ↑,
86', 4 - 0, Hansson N. ⚽,
87', Sibelius L. ↓, Hindi S. ↑,
87', Borgstrom L. ↓, Johansson G. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In recent matches, Falkenberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trelleborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Falkenberg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
16.05.25	Falkenberg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Utsikten - Falkenberg	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Örgryte - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
29.04.25	Falkenberg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Falkenberg - Oddevold	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWT
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
17.05.25	Trelleborg - Västerås SK	5:0 ✺
11.05.25	Kalmar - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
05.05.25	Örebro - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Trelleborg - Varbergs BoIS	0:4 ✺
20.04.25	Trelleborg - Brage	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
22.08.21	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	1:0
20.06.21	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	2:1
15.10.17	Falkenberg - Trelleborg	1:1
09.04.17	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	2:2
22.10.12	Trelleborg - Falkenberg	3:1

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