Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 8

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Brazil	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect


	Famalicão		Alverca

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.3	4.5	Watch
	1.85	3.30	4.33
	1.88	3.3	4.1
	1.91	3.39	4.69
	1.86	3.36	4.59	Watch
	1.88	3.3	4.6
	1.94	3.48	4.38
	1.88	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.82)	3.34 ↓ (3.36)	4.42 ↓ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Famalicão
50.4%

Draw
28.3%

Alverca
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

28.1%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

27.8%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Alverca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alverca than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	13.3%	0%

Famalicão - Alverca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Alverca (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Famalicao (1.91) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Famalicão will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alverca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Bookmakers give the edge to Famalicão for this game.

Confirmed absences for Famalicão: Van de Looi T. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Alverca: Abdulai S. (Knee Injury) Martinez J. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Alverca: Meupiyou B. (Injury) Touaizi N. (Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Famalicão has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Famalicão against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Outrights of Liga Portugal for now

Famalicao: 0.47% Alverca: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
19.09.26	Nacional - Famalicão	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Famalicão - Gil Vicente	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTTTL
- FC Alverca
Liga Portugal
19.09.26	Alverca - Rio Ave	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nacional - Alverca	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Alverca - Braga	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Alverca - Santa Clara	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
16.05.26	Famalicão - Alverca	1:0
04.01.26	Alverca - Famalicão	1:0
Taça de Portugal
20.11.21	Alverca - Famalicão	1:2

Famalicão - Alverca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide