The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nacional 23.4%
Draw 28.1%
Famalicão 48.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
28.5%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
28.7%
41.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional's form might have worsened.
Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Famalicão's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Famalicão, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Nacional - Famalicão Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Famalicão will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Marin R. (G) 2. de la Cruz D. I. 33. Goncalves C. 38. Ze Vitor 5. Jose Gomes (C) 6. Matheus Dias 8. Baeza M. 15. Labidi C. 20. Djalo M. 12. Song Min-Kyu 9. Obando A.
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 15. Rofino V. G. 4. van Breemen F. 28. Pedro Bondo 8. Pena M. 21. Szucs T. 23. Gil Dias (C) 14. De Amorim M. 7. Sorriso 70. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
10. Daniel Junior 31. Dongmo D. 14. Fernandes I. 11. Gavriel S. 7. Jensen M. 13. Joao Goncalves (G) 21. Kokolo W. 23. Mateus Iseppe 50. Medeiros de Freitas K. V. (G) 99. Pablo Ruan 52. Wesley Gasolina
9. Abubakar U. 11. Aranda O. 22. Gabriel Cabral (G) 2. Garcia 24. Jangeal M. 36. Mattara M. 5. Meyer L. 19. Moreira P. 3. Realpe L. 33. Salas P. 10. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)
Coaches
Santos A.
Carvalhal C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
7', 0 - 1, Koutsias G. ⚽, Sorriso (A),
13', 0 - 2, Sorriso ⚽,
28', Rofino V. G. 🟨,
40', 0 - 3, Koutsias G. ⚽, De Amorim M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ze Vitor ↓, Fernandes I. ↑,
46', Song Min-Kyu ↓, Gavriel S. ↑,
46', Jose Gomes ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
61', Djalo M. ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
63', Pedro Bondo 🟨,
67', 0 - 4, Sorriso ⚽, De Amorim M. (A),
71', Kokolo W. 🟨,
71', de la Cruz D. I. ↓, Wesley Gasolina ↑,
72', Pedro Bondo ↓, Meyer L. ↑,
73', Gil Dias ↓, Santos P. ↑,
74', Matheus Dias 🟨,
75', van Breemen F. 🟨,
77', Matheus Dias 🟨,
80', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
80', Koutsias G. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
82', Pinheiro R. ↓, Garcia ↑,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15th and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 1.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Famalicão holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Nacional: Jose Gomes
(Inactive)
Leo Santos
(Injury)
Liziero
(Inactive)
Soares F.
(Inactive)
Ulisses
(Broken calfbone).
Confirmed absences for Famalicão: Beney R.
(Red Card).
Doubtful / questionable for Famalicão: Van de Looi T.
(Inactive).
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Nacional has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacional against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
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Marin R. (G) 
de la Cruz D. I. 
Goncalves C. 
Ze Vitor 
Baeza M. 
Labidi C. 
Song Min-Kyu 
Carevic L. (G) 
Rofino V. G. 
van Breemen F. 
Pedro Bondo 
Szucs T. 
Koutsias G. 
Dongmo D. 
Fernandes I. 
Gavriel S. 
Jensen M. 
Kokolo W. 
Abubakar U. 
Meyer L. 
Salas P. 
Zlobin I. (G) 
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