Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 6

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Branco Godinho L. M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Asia	Q Arena Asia, TOD
Brazil	Disney+, N Sports
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Denmark	Bold+
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	Sport 1
Mexico	Claro Sports
Norway	VG+
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South-america	Claro Sports 2 Latin America, DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	beIN Connect, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Famalicão		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	6	4.1	1.51	Watch
	6.75	4.40	1.43
	5.9	3.85	1.52	Watch
	6.58	4.23	1.56
	5.95	4.27	1.55	Watch
	6.15	4.15	1.54
	6.47	4.15	1.55	Watch
	5.8	4.2	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.2 ↑ (4.74)	4.17 ↑ (3.72)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
15.3%

Draw
22.7%

Sporting Lisbon
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

25.3%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

24.8%

55.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Famalicão (2.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Sporting (1.55) (votes: 95%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (18 of 18 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Famalicão (votes: 1 - 25%). Sporting (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Carevic L. (G) 17. Pinheiro R. 4. van Breemen F. 15. Rofino V. G. 28. Pedro Bondo 14. De Amorim M. 8. Pena M. 23. Gil Dias (C) 21. Szucs T. 7. Sorriso 70. Koutsias G.	1. Silva R. (G) 22. Fresneda I. 6. Debast Z. 25. Inacio G. (C) 20. Araujo M. 5. Altimira S. 77. Doumbia I. 10. Catamo G. 58. Goncalves F. 31. Luis Guilherme 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
9. Abubakar U. 11. Aranda O. 18. Beney R. 2. Garcia 24. Jangeal M. 36. Mattara M. 5. Meyer L. 19. Moreira P. 3. Realpe L. 33. Salas P. 10. Santos P. 1. Zlobin I. (G)	4. Andersen S. 28. Derry J. 50. Dias R. 73. Felicissimo E. 7. Ioannidis F. 19. Irankunda N. 30. Kaique Pereira (G) 9. Nel R. 21. Pedro Lima 72. Quaresma E. 13. Vagiannidis G. 17. Zalazar R.
Coaches
Carvalhal C.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Gil Dias 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gil Dias ↓, Beney R. ↑,
60', Koutsias G. ↓, Abubakar U. ↑,
64', Luis Guilherme ↓, Zalazar R. ↑,
64', Goncalves F. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
73', Catamo G. 🟨,
75', Doumbia I. ↓, Andersen S. ↑,
75', Catamo G. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
78', Sorriso 🟨,
80', Carvalhal C. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Suarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Pena M. ↓, Salas P. ↑,
83', Sorriso ↓, Aranda O. ↑,
86', Suarez L. 🟨,
87', Beney R. 🟥,
90', Irankunda N. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Inacio G. (Own goal),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 0.

Famalicão is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Famalicão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Sporting has had a series of home games.

In this match, Sporting is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sporting: Ba I. (Knock) Santos N. (Muscle Injury) Simoes J. (Foot Injury) Zekri M. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Famalicão won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Famalicão won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Sporting CP	8	5	3	0	20:9	11	18
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
05.09.26	Estrela da Amadora - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Famalicão - Gil Vicente	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Santa Clara - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Famalicão - Marítimo	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TTLLT
- Sporting Lisbon
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Galatasaray	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.09.26	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon	0:4 ✺
22.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Alverca	3:1 ✺
14.08.26	Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	1:0
13.09.25	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	1:2
15.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	3:1
26.10.24	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	0:3
16.04.24	Famalicão - Sporting Lisbon	0:1
27.08.23	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	1:0
30.04.23	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	2:1

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