Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 8 February 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao (Vila Nova de Famalicao)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Famalicão		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75	Watch
	1.44	3.9	6.75	Watch
	1.38	4.25	7.5
	1.45	3.85	5.8
	1.47	4.31	7.37
	1.4	4	8
	1.42	4.5	7.9	Watch
	1.44	4.2	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.5)	4.13 ↑ (3.98)	7.03 ↑ (6.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Famalicão
64.4%

Draw
22.4%

BSAD
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.2%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

22.9%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Famalicão - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: Famalicão will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

BSAD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Famalicão is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Famalicão won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Famalicão won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
05.02.23	Braga - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
29.01.23	Famalicão - Estoril Praia	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Famalicão - Rio Ave	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Porto - Famalicão	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.01.23	Leixões - Famalicão	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTLW
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
04.02.23	Porto B - BSAD	1:2 ✺
30.01.23	BSAD - Trofense	1:1 ✺
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Oliveirense - BSAD	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.05.22	BSAD - Famalicão	2:3
13.01.22	Famalicão - BSAD	1:0
12.02.21	Famalicão - BSAD	0:0
28.09.20	BSAD - Famalicão	1:2
08.03.20	BSAD - Famalicão	0:0
28.09.19	Famalicão - BSAD	3:1

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