Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 30 January 2023, Monday

Location: Estádio Nacional do Jamor (Lisbon - Oeiras)

Referee: Costa Teixeira Afonso J. P. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	BSAD		Trofense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.4	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.4
	2.02	3.1	3.6
	2.07	3.3	3.4
	2.12	3.33	3.83
	2	3.1	3.5
	1.96	3.42	3.66
	2.04	3.2	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.09)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	3.52 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BSAD
45.3%

Draw
28.5%

Trofense
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.7%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

27.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Trofense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	25%	20%

BSAD - Trofense Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. BSAD will win (votes: 11 - 55%). Trofense will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for BSAD: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Recent matches BSAD is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trofense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

BSAD will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches BSAD won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.23	BSAD - Vilafranquense	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Oliveirense - BSAD	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.01.23	Vilaverdense - BSAD	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.01.23	Mafra - BSAD	0:1 ✺
29.12.22	BSAD - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLWWW
- CD Trofense
Portuguese Liga 2
21.01.23	Mafra - Trofense	1:0 ✺
14.01.23	Trofense - Covilhã	2:0 ✺
08.01.23	Estrela da Amadora - Trofense	2:2 ✺
30.12.22	Trofense - Torreense	0:1 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Casa Pia - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
06.08.22	Trofense - BSAD	3:2
Taça de Portugal
22.11.14	Trofense - BSAD	0:5
Portuguese Liga 2
12.05.13	Trofense - BSAD	1:2

BSAD - Trofense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide