Match Info

PORTUGAL: TAÇA DE PORTUGAL - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 10 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio do Mar (Matosinhos)

Referee: Baixinho R. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Leixões		Famalicão

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	2.1
	3.5	3.1	1.98	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.97
	3.4	3.15	2.04
	3.75	3.13	2.12
	3.6	3.1	2.05
	3.68	3.28	2.03	Watch
	3.55	3.25	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3)	3.17 ↑ (3.17)	2.05 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leixões
25.7%

Draw
29.2%

Famalicão
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

29%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leixões has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Famalicão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Leixões - Famalicão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2.

Leixões is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Famalicão is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Famalicão will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Leixões won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leixões SC
Portuguese Liga 2
05.01.23	Leixões - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
29.12.22	BSAD - Leixões	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
16.12.22	Feirense - Leixões	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Arouca - Leixões	1:1 ✺
23.11.22	Leixões - Santa Clara	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW
- FC Famalicão
Liga Portugal
06.01.23	Famalicão - Vizela	2:1 ✺
30.12.22	Chaves - Famalicão	0:2 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
15.12.22	Estoril Praia - Famalicão	0:1 ✺
09.12.22	Famalicão - Tondela	0:0 ✺
02.12.22	Torreense - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
07.04.19	Leixões - Famalicão	2:3
08.12.18	Famalicão - Leixões	1:0
12.05.18	Famalicão - Leixões	1:1
06.01.18	Leixões - Famalicão	1:0
14.01.17	Famalicão - Leixões	0:2
06.08.16	Leixões - Famalicão	0:0
30.04.16	Leixões - Famalicão	0:0

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