Match Info

Date: 3 March 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Arezzo		Mantova

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.3
	2.6	3.1	2.5
	2.75	3.1	2.33
	2.9	3	2.3
	2.98	3.31	2.43
	2.9	3.1	2.4
	2.91	3.08	2.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.7)	3.1 ↑ (2.8)	2.38 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
32%

Draw
29.6%

Mantova
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

31.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

22.9%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arezzo - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
28.02.21	Triestina - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
21.02.21	Arezzo - Matelica	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	Padova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Arezzo - Carpi	3:3 ✺
07.02.21	Virtus Verona - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLTT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
27.02.21	Imolese - Mantova	1:5 ✺
21.02.21	Mantova - Fano	0:2 ✺
18.02.21	Matelica - Mantova	0:0 ✺
14.02.21	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
07.02.21	Perugia - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.11.20	Mantova - Arezzo	2:0
Italian Serie C Group A
16.02.15	Arezzo - Mantova	1:0
28.09.14	Mantova - Arezzo	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Modena - Mantova	✺

Arezzo - Mantova