The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 32%
Draw 29.6%
Mantova 38.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
31.9%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
22.9%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arezzo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+10.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arezzo - Mantova Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Arezzo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.