Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Triestina		Arezzo

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.75	3.5	3.9
	1.72	3.5	4.1
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.76	3.7	4.75
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.76	3.58	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	4.24 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
52.3%

Draw
26.1%

Arezzo
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

20.3%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	6.7%	10%

Triestina - Arezzo Predictions

Users Predictions: Triestina will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Triestina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Triestina won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.21	Virtus Verona - Triestina	2:2 ✺
17.02.21	Triestina - Vis Pesaro	3:2 ✺
14.02.21	Ravenna - Triestina	0:1 ✺
07.02.21	Triestina - Legnago Salus	4:1 ✺
02.02.21	Modena - Triestina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWT
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
21.02.21	Arezzo - Matelica	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	Padova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Arezzo - Carpi	3:3 ✺
07.02.21	Virtus Verona - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Arezzo - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.20	Arezzo - Triestina	2:2
Coppa Italia
29.07.17	Arezzo - Triestina	0:1

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