Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Fano		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.2
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.3	3.3	2.7
	2.31	2.7	3.15
	2.32	3.03	3.23
	2.35	2.88	3.3
	2.25	2.99	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.5)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.15 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
40.2%

Draw
30.6%

Mantova
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

22.3%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mantova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).

Fano is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mantova is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Fano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Cesena - Fano	3:0 ✺
18.10.20	Fano - Imolese	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Fano - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
07.10.20	Carpi - Fano	0:0 ✺
04.10.20	Fano - Padova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLTT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
21.10.20	Mantova - Matelica	5:2 ✺
18.10.20	Sambenedettese - Mantova	2:0 ✺
11.10.20	Mantova - Perugia	5:1 ✺
07.10.20	Padova - Mantova	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.04.17	Fano - Mantova	1:1
12.11.16	Mantova - Fano	0:1

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