Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Perugia

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.3	1.8
	3.9	3.2	1.85
	4.4	3.25	1.72
	4	3	1.86
	4.66	3.18	1.93
	4	3.25	1.91
	3.95	3.4	1.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↓ (4.38)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	1.85 ↑ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
22%

Draw
28.4%

Perugia
49.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.4%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

18.8%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fano than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fano - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Fano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Perugia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Perugia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
16.01.21	Fano - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Fano - Matelica	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Modena - Fano	2:0 ✺
16.12.20	Arezzo - Fano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLLT
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.01.21	Perugia - FeralpiSalò	3:2 ✺
10.01.21	Matelica - Perugia	1:3 ✺
23.12.20	Perugia - Ravenna	3:1 ✺
19.12.20	Triestina - Perugia	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Perugia - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
27.09.20	Perugia - Fano	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	✺

Fano - Perugia