Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 24

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251


	Perugia		Ravenna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3	2.45	Watch
	2.86	2.98	2.63
	2.84	3.02	2.47	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.81	3.12	2.55	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.65)	2.96 ↓ (3.15)	2.53 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
32.6%

Draw
31.1%

Ravenna
36.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.2%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ravenna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ravenna than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Perugia - Ravenna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 15. Dell'Orco C. 28. Riccardi D. 5. Angella G. 31. Tozzuolo A. 32. Megelaitis L. 16. Bartolomei P. 30. Tumbarello G. 77. Manzari G. 9. Montevago D. 98. Bolsius D.	1. Anacoura J. (G) 47. Scaringi M. 21. Esposito A. 5. Solini M. 27. Corsinelli F. 16. Tenkorang J. 8. Rossetti M. 6. Di Marco T. 11. Rrapaj P. (C) 19. Spini C. 79. Italeng J.
Substitutes
11. Bacchin L. 10. Canotto L. 19. Dottori C. 6. Giunti G. 4. Joselito 23. Lisi F. 12. Moro L. (G) 78. Napolano V. 90. Nepi A. 71. Rondolini P. 13. Stramaccioni D. 17. Terrnava D. 22. Vinti L. (G)	44. Bianconi A. 24. Borra D. (G) 20. Calandrini G. 77. Da Pozzo L. 3. Falbo L. 23. Fischnaller M. 18. Luciani P. 4. Mandorlini M. 7. Okaka S. 12. Stagni T. (G) 10. Viola N. 76. Zakaria K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Montevago D. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Tenkorang J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Bolsius D. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
54', Scaringi M. 🟨,
60', Di Marco T. ↓, Falbo L. ↑,
60', Spini C. ↓, Fischnaller M. ↑,
63', Manzari G. ↓, Canotto L. ↑,
63', Bartolomei P. ↓, Joselito ↑,
68', Scaringi M. 🟨,
80', Rrapaj P. ↓, Mandorlini M. ↑,
85', Montevago D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
88', Italeng J. ↓, Okaka S. ↑,
89', Esposito A. ↓, Bianconi A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

Perugia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ravenna is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Ravenna	10	6	2	2	16:6	10	20
7	Perugia	10	5	1	4	14:15	-1	16

Last Results with these Odds

Ravenna - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.08%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
25.01.26	Ascoli - Perugia	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Perugia - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Perugia - Bra	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Perugia - Forlì	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLTWW
- Ravenna FC
Italian Serie C Group B
24.01.26	Ravenna - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Bra - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ravenna - Forlì	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Campobasso - Ravenna	2:1 ✺
15.12.25	Vis Pesaro - Ravenna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
19.09.25	Ravenna - Perugia	3:2
17.04.21	Ravenna - Perugia	0:3
23.12.20	Perugia - Ravenna	3:1

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