Match Info

Date: 16 January 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Fano		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.87	2.4
	2.75	2.85	2.5
	2.8	2.75	2.6
	2.85	2.65	2.55
	3.04	2.88	2.72
	2.9	2.75	2.7
	2.77	2.84	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.47)	2.8 ↓ (2.91)	2.6 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
32.1%

Draw
32.7%

Gubbio
35.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

31.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

22.2%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gubbio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Gubbio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 12).

Recent matches Fano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gubbio is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fano won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1 ✺
23.12.20	Fano - Matelica	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Modena - Fano	2:0 ✺
16.12.20	Arezzo - Fano	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Fano - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WLLTT
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.21	Gubbio - Imolese	2:1 ✺
23.12.20	Mantova - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
20.12.20	Gubbio - Padova	0:3 ✺
13.12.20	Carpi - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
05.12.20	Matelica - Gubbio	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
26.01.20	Fano - Gubbio	0:2
14.09.19	Gubbio - Fano	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.08.19	Gubbio - Fano	6:0
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.19	Fano - Gubbio	1:1
07.10.18	Gubbio - Fano	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.08.18	Fano - Gubbio	1:0
Italian Serie C Group B
04.04.18	Fano - Gubbio	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	✺

Fano - Gubbio