Match Info

Date: 19 December 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Triestina		Perugia

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.15
	2.95	2.9	2.35
	2.85	2.9	2.4
	3.2	2.75	2.29
	3.32	2.92	2.47
	3.2	2.88	2.38
	3.06	3.04	2.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.5)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	2.34 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
29.4%

Draw
31.5%

Perugia
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.2%

30.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.7%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Triestina's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+19.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Triestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Triestina - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Triestina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
14.12.20	Padova - Triestina	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Triestina - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Carpi - Triestina	2:2 ✺
25.11.20	Gubbio - Triestina	1:0 ✺
22.11.20	Triestina - Fermana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLW
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Perugia - Virtus Verona	2:2 ✺
06.12.20	Perugia - Imolese	2:0 ✺
29.11.20	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Perugia	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Perugia - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
15.11.20	Carpi - Perugia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia
11.08.19	Perugia - Triestina	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	✺

Triestina - Perugia