Match Info

Date: 20 December 2020, Sunday


	Modena		Fano

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.25	5.75	Watch
	1.57	3.4	5.1
	1.66	3.05	5.4
	1.67	3.36	5.88
	1.7	3.2	5.5
	1.69	3.34	5.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.58)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)	5.45 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
55.4%

Draw
27.8%

Fano
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

21.6%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Fano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Modena - Fano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 19 in the zone Serie C to Play Out).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Fano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Modena is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
13.12.20	Arezzo - Modena	0:1 ✺
05.12.20	Modena - Fermana	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Cesena - Modena	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Modena - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:2 ✺
16.11.20	Mantova - Modena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWTLT
- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
16.12.20	Arezzo - Fano	1:1 ✺
13.12.20	Fano - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
09.12.20	Fano - Legnago Salus	1:0 ✺
06.12.20	Vis Pesaro - Fano	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Fano - Virtus Verona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.11.19	Modena - Fano	2:1
23.04.17	Fano - Modena	0:0
07.12.16	Modena - Fano	0:0

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