Match Info

Date: 25 April 2021, Sunday


	Fano		Triestina

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.1	2.9	2.25
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.2	2.85	2.24
	3.57	2.87	2.32
	3.2	3	2.3
	3.24	3.04	2.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↑ (2.89)	2.94 ↓ (3.03)	2.25 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fano
28.2%

Draw
31.2%

Triestina
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.8%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

21.9%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fano than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Triestina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fano - Triestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C to Play Out and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Triestina is Qualified for Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Triestina will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fano won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Fano won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alma Juventus Fano 1906
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.21	Matelica - Fano	0:0 ✺
11.04.21	Fano - Modena	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	FeralpiSalò - Fano	1:2 ✺
28.03.21	Fano - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
21.03.21	Virtus Verona - Fano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWTL
- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
19.04.21	Triestina - Südtirol-Alto Adige	3:2 ✺
11.04.21	Perugia - Triestina	2:1 ✺
07.04.21	Sambenedettese - Triestina	1:0 ✺
03.04.21	Triestina - Padova	1:0 ✺
21.03.21	Triestina - Carpi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.01.21	Triestina - Fano	0:1
28.10.19	Triestina - Fano	1:0
26.12.18	Triestina - Fano	0:1
22.04.18	Triestina - Fano	0:1
02.12.17	Fano - Triestina	1:0

Fano - Triestina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide