Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday


	Triestina		Carpi

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.25	6.5
	1.57	3.5	5.25
	1.82	3.05	4.2
	1.55	3.5	5.4
	1.6	3.83	5.71
	1.6	3.6	5.8
	1.62	3.7	5.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)	3.49 ↑ (3.08)	5.45 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Triestina
56.9%

Draw
26.3%

Carpi
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

29.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

20.4%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Triestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Triestina's performance.

Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Triestina than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Triestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Triestina - Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 14).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Triestina is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Triestina won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unione Triestina 2012
Italian Serie C Group B
16.03.21	Fermana - Triestina	2:2 ✺
13.03.21	Triestina - FeralpiSalò	1:1 ✺
07.03.21	Imolese - Triestina	0:0 ✺
03.03.21	Triestina - Gubbio	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Triestina - Arezzo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TTTTT
- Carpi FC
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.21	Carpi - Vis Pesaro	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	Perugia - Carpi	2:0 ✺
07.03.21	Carpi - Modena	3:0 ✺
03.03.21	Legnago Salus - Carpi	0:0 ✺
28.02.21	Carpi - Fermana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.11.20	Carpi - Triestina	2:2
01.12.19	Carpi - Triestina	1:0

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