Match Info

Date: 3 February 2022, Thursday


	Farense		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.52	3.6	6.5
	1.5	3.65	6
	1.52	3.9	6
	1.56	4.07	6.61
	1.5	3.5	6.5
	1.53	3.92	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.93)	3.77 ↑ (3.14)	6.29 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
60.8%

Draw
24.5%

Académica Coimbra
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farense's performance.

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Académica Coimbra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.3%	26.7%	10%

Farense - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 38 - 63.3%). Académica will win (votes: 6 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 51.1% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).

Farense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Académica is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Académica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farense is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Farense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
28.01.22	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
23.01.22	Rio Ave - Farense	2:1 ✺
17.01.22	Farense - Leixões	0:1 ✺
18.12.21	Chaves - Farense	2:1 ✺
12.12.21	Farense - Nacional	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLLLT
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 2
30.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Leixões	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
19.01.22	Académica Coimbra - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
28.12.21	Académica Coimbra - Trofense	1:1 ✺
18.12.21	Mafra - Académica Coimbra	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
09.11.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	1:2
Portuguese League Cup
27.07.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	2:1 penalties
Portuguese Liga 2
17.02.19	Académica Coimbra - Farense	1:0
23.09.18	Farense - Académica Coimbra	0:2

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