Match Info

Liga Portugal - Round 27

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estádio da Luz (Lisbon)

Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Ring, Voyo
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Italy	DAZN Italia
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+, Triller TV+


	Benfica		Farense

	1	X	2
	1.14	8.5	15	Watch
	1.15	8	16.5
	1.12	8.5	19	Watch
	1.15	7.93	18.26	Watch
	1.12	7	19	Watch
	1.14	8.2	17	Watch
	1.12	8.5	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.12)	8.09 ↑ (7)	17.68 ↑ (17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
83%

Draw
11.6%

Farense
5.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

81.6%

13.1%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Benfica - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 71.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trubin A. (G) 26. Dahl S. 4. Silva A. 30. Otamendi N. (C) 3. Carreras A. 8. Aursnes F. 85. Sanches R. 11. Di Maria A. 10. Kokcu O. 17. Akturkoglu K. 14. Pavlidis V.	33. Velho R. (C) 4. Jorge A. 29. Claudio Falcao 5. Ribeiro T. 28. Pastor 8. Ze Carlos 6. Neto 93. Menino M. 31. Derick Poloni 20. Rony Lopes 9. Tomane
Substitutes
7. Amdouni Z. 81. Bajrami A. 18. Barreiro L. 19. Belotti A. 27. Bruma 9. Cabral A. 71. Santos L. 21. Schjelderup A. 24. Soares S. (G)	11. Bermejo A. 19. Costa R. 1. Kaique Pereira (G) 44. Lucas Africo 77. Matias M. 10. Njie Y. 2. Paulo Victor 70. Rivaldo 21. Soares F.
Coaches
Lage B.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. ⚽, Aursnes F. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Akturkoglu K. (A),
43', 2 - 1, Ribeiro T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanches R. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Akturkoglu K. ⚽, Pavlidis V. (A),
63', 3 - 2, Rony Lopes ⚽, Derick Poloni (A),
66', Menino M. ↓, Costa R. ↑,
67', Ze Carlos ↓, Soares F. ↑,
75', Di Maria A. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
75', Pavlidis V. ↓, Belotti A. ↑,
82', Neto ↓, Bermejo A. ↑,
82', Tomane ↓, Matias M. ↑,
82', Jorge A. ↓, Njie Y. ↑,
88', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Amdouni Z. ↑,
89', Soares F. 🟨,
90+2', Trubin A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 4.

Recent matches Benfica is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Farense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Farense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Benfica won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17:6 (average 2.4:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:3 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
28.03.25	Gil Vicente - Benfica	0:3 ✺
16.03.25	Rio Ave - Benfica	2:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.25	Barcelona - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.03.25	Benfica - Nacional	3:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.03.25	Benfica - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
15.03.25	Farense - Braga	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Estoril Praia - Farense	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Farense - AVS	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Arouca - Farense	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Farense - Porto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
14.01.25	Farense - Benfica	1:3
Liga Portugal
02.11.24	Farense - Benfica	1:2
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Benfica - Farense	5:0
Liga Portugal
22.04.24	Farense - Benfica	1:3
08.12.23	Benfica - Farense	1:1
21.02.21	Farense - Benfica	0:0
04.10.20	Benfica - Farense	3:2

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