Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 8

Date: 28 March 2023, Tuesday


	Farnborough		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.75
	1.33	4.7	7
	2.02	3.3	3.1
	1.3	5.2	10.26
	1.5	3.75	6
	1.28	5.05	10.5
	1.28	4.8	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (2.04)	4.51 ↑ (3.31)	7.97 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
66.9%

Draw
21.1%

Concord Rangers
12%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

27.4%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Farnborough's performance.

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Concord Rangers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-21.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Farnborough that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+15.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concord Rangers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	26.7%	6.7%

Farnborough - Concord Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Farnborough will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Concord will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farnborough: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Farnborough is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Concord is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Farnborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Farnborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
25.03.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
21.03.23	Farnborough - Slough Town	4:1 ✺
18.03.23	Farnborough - Chippenham Town	0:1 ✺
14.03.23	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Dartford - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
25.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:0 ✺
14.03.23	Concord Rangers - Chelmsford City	1:2
11.03.23	Welling United - Concord Rangers	0:1 ✺
07.03.23	Concord Rangers - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Chippenham Town - Concord Rangers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
04.02.23	Concord Rangers - Farnborough	0:1
25.04.15	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	0:3
06.12.14	Concord Rangers - Farnborough	7:0
29.03.14	Farnborough - Concord Rangers	0:2
26.11.13	Concord Rangers - Farnborough	5:0

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