Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 40

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	4.75
	1.57	3.65	4.7
	1.69	3.7	4.94
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.68	3.64	4.9
	1.64	3.55	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.67)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	4.85 ↑ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
55.6%

Draw
25.5%

Concord Rangers
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

25.4%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.5%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Concord Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 2.

Recent matches Hemel Hempstead is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Concord is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemel Hempstead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hemel Hempstead is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
18.03.23	Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	0:3 ✺
07.03.23	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLLT
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
14.03.23	Concord Rangers - Chelmsford City	1:2
11.03.23	Welling United - Concord Rangers	0:1 ✺
07.03.23	Concord Rangers - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Chippenham Town - Concord Rangers	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Concord Rangers - Weymouth	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
03.12.22	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
19.02.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	3:1
04.09.21	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
06.02.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	Canceled
22.02.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	1:0
02.11.19	Concord Rangers - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
23.02.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Concord Rangers	2:2

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