Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 38

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Welling United		Concord Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.65	3.6	4.4
	1.76	3.51	4.44
	1.67	3.5	4.6
	1.73	3.64	4.5
	1.8	3.5	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)	3.53 ↑ (3.5)	4.32 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
53%

Draw
25.9%

Concord Rangers
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

26.1%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

25%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Concord Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Concord Rangers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Welling United - Concord Rangers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 24 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Welling won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Welling could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Welling is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Welling won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
07.03.23	Farnborough - Welling United	0:0 ✺
04.03.23	Hungerford Town - Welling United	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Welling United - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
21.02.23	Welling United - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLTL
- Concord Rangers
English National League South
07.03.23	Concord Rangers - Slough Town	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Chippenham Town - Concord Rangers	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Concord Rangers - Weymouth	0:5 ✺
18.02.23	Tonbridge Angels - Concord Rangers	2:2 ✺
11.02.23	Braintree Town - Concord Rangers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.11.22	Concord Rangers - Welling United	1:1
07.05.22	Concord Rangers - Welling United	2:1
30.08.21	Welling United - Concord Rangers	2:1
10.11.20	Concord Rangers - Welling United	1:1
31.08.19	Concord Rangers - Welling United	3:0
29.12.18	Welling United - Concord Rangers	0:1
27.08.18	Concord Rangers - Welling United	0:5

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