Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 26

Date: 1 January 2024, Monday


	Farnborough		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.7	4
	1.7	4	4.2
	1.65	4.25	4.6
	1.65	4.25	4.61
	1.65	3.9	4
	1.71	3.89	4.36
	1.68	3.8	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.57)	3.97 ↓ (4.1)	4.27 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
55.2%

Draw
23.2%

Havant & Waterlooville
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

22.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

21.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 1.

Farnborough is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Havant is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Farnborough have a series of guest games.

Recently Havant have a series of home games.

In this match Farnborough is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
26.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Slough Town - Farnborough	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Taunton Town - Farnborough	4:0 ✺
02.12.23	Aveley - Farnborough	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWTLW
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
26.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	0:1 ✺
23.12.23	Truro City - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
13.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Dover Athletic	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
26.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	0:1
14.03.23	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
29.08.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	1:0
07.02.15	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	1:0
06.09.14	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	0:5
28.12.13	Farnborough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:2
11.09.13	Havant & Waterlooville - Farnborough	2:1

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