Match Info

Date: 22 March 2022, Tuesday


	Farnborough		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.25
	1.18	5.8	11
	1.23	6.16	11.99
	1.24	5.9	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.31)	5.78 ↑ (5.03)	10.19 ↑ (7.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
75.1%

Draw
15.9%

Dorchester Town
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.3%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73%

17.6%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Dorchester Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Farnborough - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League South Division (Play Offs) and 19).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 3.

Farnborough is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dorchester is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Farnborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farnborough is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Farnborough won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Farnborough won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English Southern League South Division
19.03.22	Farnborough - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Yate Town - Farnborough	0:2 ✺
05.03.22	Beaconsfield Town - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Farnborough - Yate Town	1:2 ✺
08.02.22	Farnborough - Chesham United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWWLW
- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
19.03.22	Kings Langley - Dorchester Town	1:2 ✺
05.03.22	Dorchester Town - Merthyr Town	1:3 ✺
26.02.22	Dorchester Town - Swindon Supermarine	2:1 ✺
12.02.22	Hartley Wintney - Dorchester Town	1:0 ✺
05.02.22	Dorchester Town - Tiverton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.10.21	Dorchester Town - Farnborough	1:2
30.11.19	Farnborough - Dorchester Town	3:1
09.03.19	Farnborough - Dorchester Town	2:2
15.01.19	Dorchester Town - Farnborough	0:6
English Southern Premier League
18.12.17	Dorchester Town - Farnborough	4:0
27.09.17	Farnborough - Dorchester Town	3:3
English National League South
12.04.14	Dorchester Town - Farnborough	1:0

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