Match Info

National League South - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Salisbury		Dorking Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.35	2.05
	2.90	3.77	2.14	Watch
	3.31	3.24	2.05
	3.4	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.9)	3.4 ↓ (3.77)	2.07 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salisbury
28.6%

Draw
27%

Dorking Wanderers
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

24.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

24%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salisbury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Dorking Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Dorking Wanderers aligns with the current prediction.

Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, Marquez J. ⚽,
68', 0 - 2, Muitt J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Salisbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dorking will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Salisbury won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Salisbury won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Salisbury - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Dorking Wanderers - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 43.37%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Salisbury FC
English National League South
25.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
21.10.25	Salisbury - Farnborough	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Salisbury - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Salisbury - Torquay United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL
- Dorking Wanderers
English National League South
28.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Maidenhead United	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
21.10.25	Dover Athletic - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Ebbsfleet United - Dorking Wanderers	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Dorking Wanderers - Aldershot Town	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
30.09.25	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	4:2
27.09.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	1:1
English National League South
08.02.25	Salisbury - Dorking Wanderers	0:2
19.10.24	Dorking Wanderers - Salisbury	3:3

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